Morocco: the Omicron wave would be faster and shorter than the Delta wave

According to Mouad Mrabet, coordinator of the National Center for Public Health Emergency Operations, the third wave of community transmission linked to the Omicron variant, which began two weeks ago in Morocco, is believed to be faster and shorter than the Delta wave.

Mouad Mrabet, also President of the National Association of Field Epidemiology, in a commentary on the epidemiological situation of Covid-19 on December 26, declared that “according to our approach in field epidemiology, based on experiences and observations, the current wave will probably be faster and shorter than the Delta wave ”.

Read also |Omicron. Morocco strengthens its response system

This wave will probably last eleven weeks, with a peak during the week of January 17 to 23, 2022, he said, stressing that everything depends on the degree of adherence of the population to the preventive measures and the systems put in place by the government.

Mouad Mrabet has, in this sense, reported a strong weekly change of the number of cases (almost 50%) last week compared to the previous week, with a reproduction rate of 1.42.

The weekly positivity rate has increased to 3.1%, while the number of severe cases has also changed despite the weekly incidence of severe Covid still low, less than 1 / 100,000 inhabitants, a- he continued.

The wave is here, unfortunately. We missed a six-week inter-wave period to boost our immunity through vaccination. We have also given all possible facilities to this virus to spread through the total lifting of all barriers (mask, distance, hygiene), he added.

For his part, the Minister of Health Ait Taleb, affirms that the health system has learned the lessons of the pandemic and it is now able to adapt to the management of the epidemiological situation, in response to a question on ” Proactive Measures to Protect the Kingdom from the Omicron Variant ”presented by the Authenticity and Modernity parliamentary group, during a session devoted to oral questions in the House of Representatives.

In the event of an epidemic setback, the health system is ready to face the new variant, whether in terms of hospital capacity, resuscitation, or the necessary equipment, he said, recalling that the “Omicron” variant , which is known for its rapid spread and low mortality, is less dangerous than the classical virus and the “Alpha” and “Delta” variants.

The Minister however noted a “certain ambiguity around the new variant, because we do not know its effects in the medium term”.

For Ait Taleb, the Kingdom can limit the number of cases of the new variant, which is five times more contagious than “Delta”, and this through compliance with preventive measures and the acceleration of the taking of the third booster dose, which boosts immunity against Omicron to 75%.

Read also |Dr Mouad Mrabet: “There is a 50% increase in the rate of positive cases over the last fortnight”

The minister also underlined the need to maintain a high level of surveillance and vigilance, and to closely follow the epidemiological situation in Europe and in the rest of the world, stressing that Morocco is not immune to a new setback, especially after the emergence of a fifth wave in Europe.

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